The final poll conducted by Africa Policy Lens (APL) ahead of the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) presidential primaries shows former Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia maintaining a commanding lead among party delegates nationwide.
According to the survey, Dr. Bawumia recorded the highest level of support both before and after constituency engagements, with his approval ratings improving following direct interactions with delegates. The findings suggest that his campaign message resonated more strongly with respondents compared to other aspirants in the race.
The poll indicates that 69.7 percent of respondents described Dr. Bawumia’s message as clear and convincing, the highest among all candidates assessed. He was followed by Ken Ohene Agyapong with 48.3 percent and Bryan Acheampong with 40.5 percent, while the remaining aspirants recorded marginal figures.
APL’s data further show that campaign outreach played a significant role in shaping delegate preferences. About 91.9 percent of respondents said they were physically present during constituency visits by presidential aspirants, while 6 percent followed the campaigns through traditional and social media platforms. Only 2.1 percent indicated they did not follow the campaigns at all.
On constituency coverage, the poll found that Dr. Bawumia, Ken Ohene Agyapong and Bryan Acheampong had visited nearly all constituencies across the country. More than 97 percent of respondents confirmed visits by Dr. Bawumia, while Ken Ohene Agyapong recorded 98.4 percent and Bryan Acheampong 82.6 percent.
Regarding key campaign themes, delegates said aspirants performed best on party unity and reconciliation (52.9 percent), followed closely by support for grassroots members and delegates (51.9 percent). Policy vision for the country accounted for 28.3 percent, while internal party reforms recorded 10.5 percent.
The demographic profile of respondents shows 76.1 percent male and 23.9 percent female participation. The majority were aged 36–45 years (38.2 percent), followed by those aged 46–60 years (33.6 percent). Nearly all respondents (99.3 percent) were polling station executives.
The APL poll was conducted between December 8, 2025, and January 23, 2026, using telephone interviews across all 276 constituencies. A total of 9,122 respondents were interviewed, with the results carrying a ±2 percent margin of error at a 95 percent confidence level.
Africa Policy Lens says the findings reflect prevailing sentiment within the NPP as the presidential primaries approach, with Dr. Bawumia holding a clear lead as the contest intensifies.
